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“A Day Between Explosion and Anticipation: Lebanon on the Edge of New Equations”

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In a morning weighed down by tension, Lebanon awoke to a new security development that reopened the wounds of the south. A precise Israeli strike targeted a car in the town of Mansouri, killing one person, and with it resurfaced the recurring questions about the narrow margins within which the country operates. The scene seemed like yet another chapter in a never-ending story, where the south always pays the price of the open confrontation between Tel Aviv and Hezbollah, while the state stands at the line of fire, trying to decipher what lies behind the haze.

But the security incident is merely a façade for a far more complex political landscape. The “Homeland Shield” plan, which seeks to place all weapons under the state’s authority, has remained the central headline of internal debate. The government negotiates, the army presents its reports, and Hezbollah insists its weapons are “part of the protection equation.” Between pull and push, experts warn that continued refusal may open the door—if only in whispers—to direct negotiations between Lebanon and Israel, a possibility that arouses both suspicion and curiosity.

On the political table, the heat is no less intense. The discussion over the electoral law ignites verbal clashes among the factions, accompanied by a surge of analyses about new alliances emerging in the north and shifts that could reshape the upcoming parliamentary landscape. Each side raises its banner, while people search for a compass to lead the country out of its vicious circle.

In the background, Washington prepares to send its new ambassador—a move read as a sign of deeper engagement in the Lebanese file, especially amid rising security tensions and the possibility of resuming indirect negotiations over the borders.

Today, Lebanon stands between a burning fire on its southern frontier and a dense fog hanging over its political future. Yet the country—stubborn as ever—continues to carve its path toward long-awaited stability, even if with weary steps.

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